Te hokohoko konganuku matihiko: te tirohanga ki te mākete parahi o te ao mō te tau 2026–2030

ngā purongo (1)Nō nā tata nei, kua whakaputaina e Cymber Metal Trading Co., Ltd. (e mōhiotia nei ko "Cymber") tana tirohanga pūnaha mō te mākete parahi o te ao mō ngā tau e rima e whai ake nei, me te whakaatu anō hoki i ngā whakarerekētanga rautaki hou a te kamupene i roto i te whakahaere mekameka tuku, ngā taputapu ārai pūtea, me te whakatinanatanga ā-rohe.

I. Tirohanga Matua: Kei te noho tonu te Parahi i roto i te Hongere Pakari mō te Wā Roa, engari ka tino piki ake te Hurihuri o te Utu

E whakapono ana a Cymber ka mau tonu te taurite iti o te mākete parahi kua parakore mai i te tau 2026 ki te 2030 ki tētahi tauira nama iti, me te pokapū utu toharite ā-tau e matapaetia ana ka piki ake i ia tau i roto i te awhe oUS$10,800–12,500 ia tanaKo ngā mea matua e akiaki ana i tēnei ko:

  • Te tono piki haere uauamai i ngā haumitanga ki te whatunga hiko me te hanganga pokapū raraunga (ko te tere tipu ā-tau e matapaetia ana he 4.8%–5.5%);
  • I whakaroahia ngā huringa whakapaunga whakapaipai i te pito keri, ā, i puhoi haere te tere o te putanga mai o ngā taonga hou (ko te tipu o te hanga parahi keri o te ao he1.2%–1.8% ia taumai i te tau 2026 ki te tau 2028);
  • Ngā herenga ki te pūnaha hangarua parahi para i roto i ngā ōhanga nui nā runga i ngā ture taiao me ngā arai i te reiti kohikohi, e hua ake ai te ngāwari o te whakakapinga ki raro i te mea i tumanakohia.

I taua wā anō, ka nui haere te piki me te heke o ngā utu nā ngā taurangi ōhanga whānui me te ao tōrangapū, ki te whakataurite ki te wā 2021–2024. E matapaetia ana ka eke ngā pikinga utu o ia hauwhā ki te18%–25%, te waihanga i ngā whai wāhitanga ārai nui ake me te pūmanawa hua hanganga mō ngā umanga whai pūkenga whakahaere mōrearea mekameka katoa.

II. Ngā Whakatūpato Mōrearea Ā-Wāhanga

Mai i te haurua tuarua o te tau 2026 ki te haurua tuatahi o te tau 2027, tera pea ka puta he matapihi wā poto mō te whakaiti i te koretake o te tuku me te tono, ko te nuinga o te wā e peia ana e:

  • He wā okioki i te tihi o te huringa haumi whatunga hiko o Haina;
  • He puhoi haere o te tere o te hanga pokapū raraunga i Ūropi me te Hononga o Amerika;
  • Te whakanui ake i te whakaputanga i mua i te wā i whakaritea i ētahi maina hou i Peru me Chile.

Mena ka tīmata te Federal Reserve i tētahi wāhanga hou o te whakahekenga reiti huamoni i te tau 2026, ka nui ake ngā āhuatanga pūtea o te parahi i te hekenga tere o te tāra US, ā, ka piki ake pea ngā utu i mua i te hokinga tere.

Ko ngā pakanga ā-rohe, ngā huringa kaupapa here rānei i roto i ngā whenua nui e whakaputa ana i te parahi (hei tauira, te whakahoutanga o te taake keri i Chile, te raruraru hiko rānei i Zambia) kei te noho tonu hei take mō te ohorere o te tuku.

I kōrero a Mr. Meng Xiang Ji, te Kaiwhakahaere Matua o Cymber Metal Trading Co., Ltd.:

"I roto i ngā tau e rima e whai ake nei, ko te tautohe matua i roto i te mākete parahi ehara i te korenga o te katoa, engari ko ngā matapihi wā o te kore taurite o te tuku me te tono me te kaha o te piki me te heke o te utu. Ko ngā kamupene e kaha ana ki te whiwhi kirimana wā roa, e arotau ana i ngā radius logistics, ā, e whai pūkenga whakahaere mōrearea ngaio ka eke ki te tino pono o ngā hokinga mai i waenga i te piki me te heke."


Wā tuku: Whiringa-ā-rangi 28-2025